第一章有价证券是指无票面金额，证明持券人有权按期取得一定收入并可自由转让和买卖的所有

指数平滑法进行市场预测的程序包括( )。

A．选择平滑模型

B．选择平滑系数

C．确定初始值

D．预测结果分析

E．确定约束条件

第二节信息匹配(共5小题；每小题2分，满分10分)

阅读下列应用文及相关信息，并按照要求匹配信息。请在答题卡上将对应题号的相应选项字母涂黑。

某网站推出“Who is my angel ?”栏目，以下是有关该栏目中奖者的来信：

A．From Morgan Dunnivan

Hi, I’m 7 years old and my special angel is my mommy. She takes care of me and our house, works with troublesome teens as a volunteer, takes me to gymnastics every week, and works two jobs. My mommy is my best friend and we are angels for each other. She always thinks of others first. I think she should be the Angel among Us winner. Please pick my mommy. It would be a great Christmas gift for her since I can’t buy her a present.

B．From Michael Allen, Greer Uniontown

Whether I am having a good day or in more cases a really bad day, she never seems to fail me, no matter what the circumstances are. Moreover, she’s by far one of my biggest fans. Mom is a really good-hearted person with a beautiful spirit that always shines through even during my darkest days. She definitely earns her angel wings.

C．From Brianna Callahan, Smock

My special angel is my mother. She is there whenever I need her. In my opinion, she deserves the gift. This gift would surely brighten up her day. She is the one who I can count on to help me or have a hot meal ready for dinner. Moms do that but no one really appreciates them as much as they should be. I just want to make her feel special. There may be a lot of special angels out there, but I think my mom is the only special angel in my heart.

D．From Renee Wheeler, SmithfieldWe have been blessed with an angel in our family. I don’t even know if she knows the number of lives she has touched. She just goes on with her everyday tasks and never even realizes the wonderful love that flows from her every move. She is known by so many different titles, like, mom, aunt, sister, friend, neighbor, etc.

E. From Nicole Baughman, Smock

My special angel is my daddy. He is always there for me. He is a very hard-working man. And I’m proud of him to be my daddy. He loves me very much. He’s the one who gives us our allowance. He puts food on the table. He is the best daddy in the world. I love him very much. He stands up for us and he cares for all of us. He picks me up because I am still really too short to pick something up.

F. From Sharon Williams, Uniontown

I met my special angel 32 years ago starting my first job. She trained me as a friend. She introduced me to one of her sons to whom I’ve been married for 20 years. She lovingly raised seven children, and after retiring helped to raise a grandchild who is now in college. Living next door she was always there to help with our two sons, babysitting, fixing them snacks, or teaching them how to make peanut butter and banana sandwiches.

以下是中奖者所选angel的获奖感言，请匹配这些获奖感言与其对应的书信。

46. “I am very happy to get the gift and I am very sorry to seize it from my wife. And I believe that my wife, her mother, does better than me.”

47. “As my son says, this is the best present he can afford for me. I am proud of him to ‘buy’ me the valuable gift when he is so young.”

48. “I am very happy to have the honor. I think I should thank my children, my relatives, my friends, my neighbors and so on.”

49. “I’m very happy that my daughter-in-law gives me so high a prize. But I think it is my duty to take care of my sons and my grandchildren.”

50. “I never imagined that my favorite star would give me such a high and special honor. I believe that I will still be his fan for ever.”

    地球表面的各个地方都处在一定的地带位置，一般说来，各地的地理环境都具有那个地带的地带性特征，同时又不同程度地受这种或那种非地带性因素的影响，具有非地带性特征。读图，完成下列问题。

（1）图中黑色区域所代表的自然带最有可能是__________；试列举两例该区域成因不同的常见的地貌类

    型：__________、__________。

（2）从自然带规律上看，A地区属于____________地带性，B地区属于___________的地域分异，C地区

    属于____________的地域分异。

（3）描述图中D附近黑色区域自然带的分布特点，并说明其成因。

    _________________________________________________________________________________________

（4）试分析图中黑色区域发展农业生产的自然条件。

    _________________________________________________________________________________________

下列四幅图中，能正确表示台风“珍珠”过境时气压变化状况的是

A、A

B、B

C、C

D、D

工商行政管理机关行政行为—旦合法成立，就发生一定的法律效力，其不具备的效力是( )。

A．拘束力

B．确定力

C．执行力

D．权威力